The consensus forecast: the crisis form a double dip

This double-dip crisis was predicted in 2008 by Edward Musinsky.
The study has done in September-December 2010, in three stages:

1. Content analysis of macroeconomic forecasts published by the world's leading research institutions (methods: Scanning sources, analysis of global trends).
2. Drawing the consensus forecast by weighting the citation index of authors forecast
3. Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) the consensus forecast from its own investigation, "the driving forces and trends in the global economy"

Now all the economic experts agree that the second wave of the crisis is inevitable.

THE VENTURE INVESTORS FUTURE RANKING

There is our ranking of venture capital investors with social activity and a vision of the future.


To do this, we analyzed  M&A and IPO exit  over the last five years, and the second part of the rating model was a reference count for a particular investor, and a content analysis of its forward-looking statements on the Internet.
To complement analysis we convened experts opinions about Investors leadership within sector, and his overall authority in the venture capital industry.





The venture prophets 


1. Peter Thiel


2. Michael Moritz



3. Fred Wilson


4. Mark Andreessen


5. Reid Hoffman


6. L. John Doerr



7. Kevin Efrusy


8. Sean Parker



9. Ron Conway


10.  Michael Arrington



11. Paul Graham


12. Andreas von Bechtolsheim   


13. Alan Patricof 



14. Ram Shriram


15. Peter Fenton


16. Aneel Bhusri


17. Timothy Draper 


18. David Cheriton,


19. Vinod Khosla 


20. Max Levchin


21. Howard Hartenbaum,          August Capital  Had big exit in 2008 from social network Bebo, bought by AOL for $850 million. Was a primary investor in Internet phone company Skype, Cashed out in eBay's $3.1 billion acquisition


22.   David Skok, Matrix Partners. Made early investment in data warehousing company Netezza, which went public and was subsequently acquired by IBM for $2.9 billion. Value add investor helped sell storage outfit Diligent to IBM for $200 million in 2008 and was instrumental in building and selling open-source middleware developer JBoss to Red Hat for $350 million in 2006.

23. David Sze, led Greylock's investment in Facebook in early 2006 when it was still a closed network of 10 million co-eds. He has since led the firm's investments in soon-to-be-public LinkedIn (Greylock holds a 16% ownership stake), Pandora (14%) and Digg. His other investments include Revision3 (online video service), Oodle (online classifieds), VUDU (online video service acquired by Wal-Mart Stores), SoftCoin (interactive promotions outfit acquired by You Technology) and New Edge Networks (acquired by EarthLink


24. Hendrik Brandis, Co-founder and managing partner of Earlybird;  past chairman of the EVCA Venture Capital Platform Council. More than 16 years experience as investor and entrepreneur; focus on web-enabled services. Most successful exits: Dianoema (Milan: NOE.MI); element 5 to Digital River (NASDAQ:DRIV); dooyoo.de to Le Guide.com S.A.


25. Antoine Papiernik, Sofinnova Partners.  Medronic's $700 million purchase of portfolio company CoreValve, the largest exit in Sofinnova's 37-year history. Papiernik led the sole investment in CoreValve's first round, fended off early acquisition offers and ultimately earned ten times his investment. Led a seed investment in Fovea, which sold to Sanofi Aventis for $500 million in 2006. Also led early stage investments in Addex and Movetis, which had successful public offerings in 2007 and 2009


26. Brad Feld, Foundry Group. Notable companies that Brad has invested in and/or sat on the boards of include Abuzz (acq. NYT), Anyday.com (acq. PALM), Critical Path (CPTH), Cyanea (acq. IBM), Dante Group (acq. WEBM), DataPower (acq. IBM), FeedBurner (acq. by GOOG), Feld Group (acq. by EDS), Gist (acq. by RIM), Harmonix (acq. VIA), NetGenesis (IPO), ServiceMagic (acq. IACI), and ServiceMetrics (acq. EXDS).


27. Roger Ehrenberg, is the founder and Managing Partner of IA Ventures. Prior to forming IA Ventures, Roger was an active angel investor through IA Capital Partners, a seed-stage investment firm focused on digital media and financial technology. From 2004 to 2009, Roger seeded 40 companies, including bit.ly, Buddy Media, Clickable, Invite Media (sold to Google), Magnetic, MyTrade (sold to TD Ameritrade), Solve Media, Stocktwits, TheLadders, TweetDeck (sold to Twitter) and Wallstrip (sold to CBS Interactive). Earlier in his career, Roger served as President and CEO of DB Advisors, LLC, Deutsche Bank’s internal hedge fund trading platform where his 130-person team managed $6 billion in capital across multiple strategies with offices in New York, London and Hong Kong. Before DB Advisors, Roger was Global Co-head of Deutsche Bank’s Strategic Equity Transactions Group. In 2000, Roger’s team won Institutional Investor magazine’s “Derivatives Deal of the Year” award.


28.   Bill Gross, chief executive officer of Idealab and UberMedia


29.   Gregory R. Gretsch ,            Sigma Partners EqualLogic, acquired by Dell for $1.4 billion in the biggest exit of the year. Also had a piece of Postini (acquired by Google in 2007 for $625 millions


30. Stefan Glänzer Best Angel Investor of the Year 2010